Jumat, 24 Juni 2011

DEFINITION OF MILANKOVITCH CYCLES

Systematic changes in the amount of

incoming solar radiation, caused by variations in Earth’s

orbital parameters around the Sun. These changes can affect

many Earth systems, causing glaciations, global warming,

and changes in the patterns of climate and sedimentation.

Astronomical effects influence the amount of incoming

solar radiation; minor variations in the path of the Earth in

its orbit around the Sun, and the inclination or tilt of its axis

cause variations in the amount of solar energy reaching the

top of the atmosphere. These variations are thought to be

responsible for the advance and retreat of the Northern and

Southern Hemisphere ice sheets in the past few million years.

In the past 2 million years alone, the Earth has seen the ice

sheets advance and retreat approximately 20 times. The climate

record, as deduced from ice-core records from Greenland

and isotopic tracer studies from deep ocean, lake, and

cave sediments, suggests that the ice builds up gradually over

periods of about 100,000 years, then retreats rapidly over a

period of decades to a few thousand years. These patterns

result from the cumulative effects of different astronomical

phenomena.

Several movements are involved in changing the amount

of incoming solar radiation. The Earth rotates around the Sun

following an elliptical orbit, and the shape of this elliptical

orbit is known as its eccentricity. The eccentricity changes

cyclically with time with a period of 100,000 years, alternately

bringing the Earth closer to and farther from the Sun in summer

and winter. This 100,000-year cycle is about the same as

the general pattern of glaciers advancing and retreating every

100,000 years in the past 2 million years, suggesting that this

is the main cause of variations within the present-day ice age.

The Earth’s axis is presently tilting by 23.5°N/S away

from the orbital plane, and the tilt varies between 21.5°N/S

and 24.5°N/S. The tilt changes by plus or minus 1.5°N/S

from a tilt of 23°N/S every 41,000 years. When the tilt is

greater, there is greater seasonal variation in temperature.

Wobble of the rotation axis describes a motion much

like a top rapidly spinning and rotating with a wobbling

motion, such that the direction of tilt toward or away from

the Sun changes, even though the tilt amount stays the same.

This wobbling phenomenon is known as precession of the

equinoxes, and it has the effect of placing different hemispheres

closest to the Sun in different seasons. Presently the

precession of the equinoxes is such that the Earth is closest to

the Sun during the Northern Hemisphere winter. This precession

changes with a double cycle, with periodicities of 23,000

years and 19,000 years.

Because each of these astronomical factors act on different

timescales, they interact in a complicated way, known as

Milankovitch cycles, after a Yugoslavian (Milutin Milankovitch)

who first analyzed them in the 1920s. Using the power

of understanding these cycles, we can make predictions of

where the Earth’s climate is heading, whether we are heading

into a warming or cooling period, and whether we need to

plan for sea-level rise, desertification, glaciation, sea-level

drops, floods, or droughts.

Milankovitch cycles have been invoked to explain the

rhythmic repetitions of layers in some sedimentary rock

sequences. The cyclical orbital variations cause cyclical climate

variations, which in turn are reflected in the cyclical

deposition of specific types of sedimentary layers in sensitive

environments. There are numerous examples of sedimentary

sequences where stratigraphic and age control are sufficient to

be able to detect cyclical variation in the timescales of

Milankovitch cycles, and studies of these layers have proven

consistent with a control of sedimentation by the planet’s

orbital variations. Some examples of Milankovitch-forced sedimentation

have been documented from the Dolomite Mountains

of Italy, the Proterozoic Rocknest Formation of northern

Canada, and from numerous coral reef environments.

See also STRATIGRAPHY; SEQUENCE STRATIGRAPHY.

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